Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, remains a Solid Democratic seat per major forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting overwhelming Democratic margins in recent presidential races and the 2024 uncontested reelection of incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Democrats stems from the district's reliable blue voter base in Broward and Palm Beach counties, despite the incumbent's November 2025 federal indictment for misusing $5 million in disaster funds and the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding of 25 ethics violations, which has drawn primary challengers like Elijah Manley and Luther Campbell ahead of the August 18 primaries. A public ethics hearing on April 21 could prompt her exit, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention even in an open race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,023 거래량
90%
Republican Party
$3,080 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, remains a Solid Democratic seat per major forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting overwhelming Democratic margins in recent presidential races and the 2024 uncontested reelection of incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Democrats stems from the district's reliable blue voter base in Broward and Palm Beach counties, despite the incumbent's November 2025 federal indictment for misusing $5 million in disaster funds and the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding of 25 ethics violations, which has drawn primary challengers like Elijah Manley and Luther Campbell ahead of the August 18 primaries. A public ethics hearing on April 21 could prompt her exit, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention even in an open race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$7,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, remains a Solid Democratic seat per major forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting overwhelming Democratic margins in recent presidential races and the 2024 uncontested reelection of incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Democrats stems from the district's reliable blue voter base in Broward and Palm Beach counties, despite the incumbent's November 2025 federal indictment for misusing $5 million in disaster funds and the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding of 25 ethics violations, which has drawn primary challengers like Elijah Manley and Luther Campbell ahead of the August 18 primaries. A public ethics hearing on April 21 could prompt her exit, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention even in an open race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,103종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, remains a Solid Democratic seat per major forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting overwhelming Democratic margins in recent presidential races and the 2024 uncontested reelection of incumbent Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Democrats stems from the district's reliable blue voter base in Broward and Palm Beach counties, despite the incumbent's November 2025 federal indictment for misusing $5 million in disaster funds and the House Ethics Committee's March 27 finding of 25 ethics violations, which has drawn primary challengers like Elijah Manley and Luther Campbell ahead of the August 18 primaries. A public ethics hearing on April 21 could prompt her exit, but historical base rates favor Democratic retention even in an open race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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