Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability in the FL-25 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's established strength in this Broward County district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5, where she won reelection in 2024 by 9 points amid a narrow 52-47 Democratic presidential margin. Recent GOP fundraising momentum from challenger Michael Carbonara, who reported $2.5 million raised as of April 14—including innovative crypto strategies and endorsements from local officials—has elevated Republican odds to 31.5%, signaling potential primary competition ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Democratic status, reflecting incumbency advantages despite the district's rightward trend.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,753 거래량
$10,753 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
68%
공화당
32%
$10,753 거래량
$10,753 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$2,061 거래량
68%
공화당
$8,692 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability in the FL-25 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's established strength in this Broward County district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5, where she won reelection in 2024 by 9 points amid a narrow 52-47 Democratic presidential margin. Recent GOP fundraising momentum from challenger Michael Carbonara, who reported $2.5 million raised as of April 14—including innovative crypto strategies and endorsements from local officials—has elevated Republican odds to 31.5%, signaling potential primary competition ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Democratic status, reflecting incumbency advantages despite the district's rightward trend.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$10,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability in the FL-25 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's established strength in this Broward County district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5, where she won reelection in 2024 by 9 points amid a narrow 52-47 Democratic presidential margin. Recent GOP fundraising momentum from challenger Michael Carbonara, who reported $2.5 million raised as of April 14—including innovative crypto strategies and endorsements from local officials—has elevated Republican odds to 31.5%, signaling potential primary competition ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Democratic status, reflecting incumbency advantages despite the district's rightward trend.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,753종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 68% implied probability in the FL-25 House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's established strength in this Broward County district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5, where she won reelection in 2024 by 9 points amid a narrow 52-47 Democratic presidential margin. Recent GOP fundraising momentum from challenger Michael Carbonara, who reported $2.5 million raised as of April 14—including innovative crypto strategies and endorsements from local officials—has elevated Republican odds to 31.5%, signaling potential primary competition ahead of the April 24 filing deadline and August 18 primaries. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Democratic status, reflecting incumbency advantages despite the district's rightward trend.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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