Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's unblemished record since 2014 in the Republican-leaning (R+7) Georgia 12th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting the seat's Cook "Solid Republican" status and Allen's 60% general election margins. A crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Traci George, Tracell Peace-Nichols, Ceretta Smith, Chris Stephens, and Brianna Woodson—signals likely fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and potential June 16 runoff, weakening general election prospects. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the March 6 filing deadline, though recent Georgia special election overperformance by Democrats in redder districts like GA-14 tempers odds from a lock, amid GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
18%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,959 거래량
79%
Democratic Party
$4,939 거래량
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's unblemished record since 2014 in the Republican-leaning (R+7) Georgia 12th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting the seat's Cook "Solid Republican" status and Allen's 60% general election margins. A crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Traci George, Tracell Peace-Nichols, Ceretta Smith, Chris Stephens, and Brianna Woodson—signals likely fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and potential June 16 runoff, weakening general election prospects. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the March 6 filing deadline, though recent Georgia special election overperformance by Democrats in redder districts like GA-14 tempers odds from a lock, amid GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$7,899종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's unblemished record since 2014 in the Republican-leaning (R+7) Georgia 12th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting the seat's Cook "Solid Republican" status and Allen's 60% general election margins. A crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Traci George, Tracell Peace-Nichols, Ceretta Smith, Chris Stephens, and Brianna Woodson—signals likely fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and potential June 16 runoff, weakening general election prospects. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the March 6 filing deadline, though recent Georgia special election overperformance by Democrats in redder districts like GA-14 tempers odds from a lock, amid GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$7,899종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rick Allen's unblemished record since 2014 in the Republican-leaning (R+7) Georgia 12th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 78.5% for a Republican victory, reflecting the seat's Cook "Solid Republican" status and Allen's 60% general election margins. A crowded Democratic primary field—featuring Traci George, Tracell Peace-Nichols, Ceretta Smith, Chris Stephens, and Brianna Woodson—signals likely fragmentation ahead of the May 19 primaries and potential June 16 runoff, weakening general election prospects. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days since the March 6 filing deadline, though recent Georgia special election overperformance by Democrats in redder districts like GA-14 tempers odds from a lock, amid GOP's slim House majority and midterm volatility.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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