Trader consensus favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 21%, with 5-9 posts at 12.6%, reflecting a recent lull—zero posts since April 13 amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict following Khamenei's February martyrdom. The account, managed by his office, typically shares 1-2 archival statements weekly on geopolitical or religious themes, as seen in early April's near-daily cadence tied to Easter and anti-Western rhetoric. This tight race persists due to uncertainty over escalation signals like airstrikes, diplomatic rebukes, or commemorations that could prompt a posting surge, while prolonged silence might cement the low-volume outcome by April 21.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?
15-19 43.6%
<5 26%
5-9 18.3%
20-24 17.4%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
26%
5-9
18%
10-14
4%
15-19
44%
20-24
12%
25-29
2%
30-34
3%
35-39
2%
40-44
<1%
45-49
1%
50-54
3%
55-59
3%
60+
25%
15-19 43.6%
<5 26%
5-9 18.3%
20-24 17.4%
신규
신규
2026.04.21
<5
$789 거래량
26%
5-9
$637 거래량
18%
10-14
$627 거래량
4%
15-19
$668 거래량
44%
20-24
$797 거래량
12%
25-29
$652 거래량
2%
30-34
$652 거래량
3%
35-39
$607 거래량
2%
40-44
$651 거래량
<1%
45-49
$631 거래량
1%
50-54
$677 거래량
3%
55-59
$692 거래량
3%
60+
$631 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 21%, with 5-9 posts at 12.6%, reflecting a recent lull—zero posts since April 13 amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict following Khamenei's February martyrdom. The account, managed by his office, typically shares 1-2 archival statements weekly on geopolitical or religious themes, as seen in early April's near-daily cadence tied to Easter and anti-Western rhetoric. This tight race persists due to uncertainty over escalation signals like airstrikes, diplomatic rebukes, or commemorations that could prompt a posting surge, while prolonged silence might cement the low-volume outcome by April 21.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$8,600종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 21%, with 5-9 posts at 12.6%, reflecting a recent lull—zero posts since April 13 amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict following Khamenei's February martyrdom. The account, managed by his office, typically shares 1-2 archival statements weekly on geopolitical or religious themes, as seen in early April's near-daily cadence tied to Easter and anti-Western rhetoric. This tight race persists due to uncertainty over escalation signals like airstrikes, diplomatic rebukes, or commemorations that could prompt a posting surge, while prolonged silence might cement the low-volume outcome by April 21.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
거래량
$8,600종료일
2026.04.21마켓 개설일
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under 5 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) at 21%, with 5-9 posts at 12.6%, reflecting a recent lull—zero posts since April 13 amid the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict following Khamenei's February martyrdom. The account, managed by his office, typically shares 1-2 archival statements weekly on geopolitical or religious themes, as seen in early April's near-daily cadence tied to Easter and anti-Western rhetoric. This tight race persists due to uncertainty over escalation signals like airstrikes, diplomatic rebukes, or commemorations that could prompt a posting surge, while prolonged silence might cement the low-volume outcome by April 21.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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