The Republican nominee holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the advantages of incumbency. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical election margins. Incumbent Ann Wagner faces several challengers in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates including Frederick Wellman and have placed the district on their target list for the first time in years. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, national conditions, or candidate fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the limited time for Democratic momentum to build in a suburban district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
20%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,148 거래량
77%
Democratic Party
$2,238 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the advantages of incumbency. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical election margins. Incumbent Ann Wagner faces several challengers in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates including Frederick Wellman and have placed the district on their target list for the first time in years. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, national conditions, or candidate fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the limited time for Democratic momentum to build in a suburban district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$5,386종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the advantages of incumbency. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical election margins. Incumbent Ann Wagner faces several challengers in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates including Frederick Wellman and have placed the district on their target list for the first time in years. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, national conditions, or candidate fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the limited time for Democratic momentum to build in a suburban district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,386종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a strong position in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the 2026 cycle, driven by the seat’s consistent Republican lean and the advantages of incumbency. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and historical election margins. Incumbent Ann Wagner faces several challengers in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates including Frederick Wellman and have placed the district on their target list for the first time in years. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts tied to primary outcomes, national conditions, or candidate fundraising. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the limited time for Democratic momentum to build in a suburban district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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