Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, first elected in a 2013 special election, holds a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic challengers and only minor Republican primary opposition further reinforce trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic performance in the general, though structural barriers in the rural southeastern district make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,479 거래량
$30,479 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
6%
$30,479 거래량
$30,479 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$20,263 거래량
94%
민주당
$10,215 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, first elected in a 2013 special election, holds a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic challengers and only minor Republican primary opposition further reinforce trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic performance in the general, though structural barriers in the rural southeastern district make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$30,479종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, first elected in a 2013 special election, holds a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic challengers and only minor Republican primary opposition further reinforce trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic performance in the general, though structural barriers in the rural southeastern district make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$30,479종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith, first elected in a 2013 special election, holds a commanding position in Missouri’s 8th congressional district due to its strong Republican tilt, reflected in an R+27 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins, including 76 percent in 2024. Analyst ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Limited Democratic challengers and only minor Republican primary opposition further reinforce trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic performance in the general, though structural barriers in the rural southeastern district make such shifts unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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