Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,098 거래량
$20,098 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
86%
공화당
10%
$20,098 거래량
$20,098 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,567 거래량
86%
공화당
$5,532 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
거래량
$20,098종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$20,098종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Deb Haaland's commanding lead in Democratic primary polls—averaging over 50% support across recent surveys like Change Research and GBAO—along with her $4.2 million fundraising haul in the past six months versus rival Sam Bregman's $1.2 million, has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a Democratic gubernatorial win on November 3. Endorsements from all three New Mexico House Democrats and Senator Ben Ray Luján further position Haaland for a likely primary victory on June 2, amid an open seat left by term-limited Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham. Republicans face a fragmented field with no standout contender in this Democratic-leaning state, per Cook Political Report's Likely D rating, keeping their odds at 10% absent a major shift.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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