New York’s 10th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 80 percent in recent general elections. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. The Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary, leaving the general-election outcome effectively uncontested at current pricing. A Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet neither faces meaningful opposition in November. Only an extraordinary national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could materially alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$44,540 거래량
$44,540 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
2%
$44,540 거래량
$44,540 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,095 거래량
95%
공화당
$32,445 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 80 percent in recent general elections. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. The Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary, leaving the general-election outcome effectively uncontested at current pricing. A Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet neither faces meaningful opposition in November. Only an extraordinary national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could materially alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$44,540종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 80 percent in recent general elections. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. The Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary, leaving the general-election outcome effectively uncontested at current pricing. A Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet neither faces meaningful opposition in November. Only an extraordinary national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could materially alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$44,540종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 80 percent in recent general elections. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. The Republican nominee advanced without a contested primary, leaving the general-election outcome effectively uncontested at current pricing. A Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet neither faces meaningful opposition in November. Only an extraordinary national partisan swing, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could materially alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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