Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
26%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$3,434 거래량
72%
Republican Party
$132 거래량
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$3,567종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,567종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 72% to reclaim Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, driven by recent House Majority Forward polling from late March showing incumbent Rep. Ryan Mackenzie (R) and President Trump with record-low job approval ratings in the Lehigh Valley swing seat. Mackenzie's narrow 2024 victory (50.5%) underscores the district's Toss Up status per Cook Political Report (R+1 PVI), amplifying midterm headwinds for the GOP's slim House majority amid historical opposition gains. A competitive Democratic primary on May 19 features strong contenders like firefighter Bob Brooks (endorsed by Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders) and ex-prosecutor Ryan Crosswell, with Brooks leading Polymarket's nomination odds; the winner faces unopposed Mackenzie in a top Democratic flip target.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문