Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, won a four-way primary on May 19, 2026, securing the nomination with 41% of the vote in a race that drew substantial outside spending from groups aligned with both parties. Incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the Lehigh Valley-based district in 2024 by a narrow margin, ran unopposed in his primary. The seat’s recent partisan shift, combined with midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party and Brooks’ union-backed profile targeting working-class voters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Fundraising reports and early positioning indicate both campaigns view the contest as competitive, with general-election developments expected to shape final positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
23%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$3,726 거래량
74%
Republican Party
$379 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, won a four-way primary on May 19, 2026, securing the nomination with 41% of the vote in a race that drew substantial outside spending from groups aligned with both parties. Incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the Lehigh Valley-based district in 2024 by a narrow margin, ran unopposed in his primary. The seat’s recent partisan shift, combined with midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party and Brooks’ union-backed profile targeting working-class voters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Fundraising reports and early positioning indicate both campaigns view the contest as competitive, with general-election developments expected to shape final positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
거래량
$4,105종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, won a four-way primary on May 19, 2026, securing the nomination with 41% of the vote in a race that drew substantial outside spending from groups aligned with both parties. Incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the Lehigh Valley-based district in 2024 by a narrow margin, ran unopposed in his primary. The seat’s recent partisan shift, combined with midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party and Brooks’ union-backed profile targeting working-class voters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Fundraising reports and early positioning indicate both campaigns view the contest as competitive, with general-election developments expected to shape final positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,105종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Bob Brooks, president of the Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, won a four-way primary on May 19, 2026, securing the nomination with 41% of the vote in a race that drew substantial outside spending from groups aligned with both parties. Incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, who flipped the Lehigh Valley-based district in 2024 by a narrow margin, ran unopposed in his primary. The seat’s recent partisan shift, combined with midterm dynamics that typically favor the opposition party and Brooks’ union-backed profile targeting working-class voters, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Fundraising reports and early positioning indicate both campaigns view the contest as competitive, with general-election developments expected to shape final positioning ahead of the November 3 vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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