Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions' uncontested primary victory on March 3, 2026—securing 100% of the vote with President Trump's endorsement—has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Republican hold in solidly Republican TX-17, where Donald Trump won 57.8% in the 2024 presidential vote and Sessions took 66% in the 2024 general. The district's Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages like partisan lean and incumbency, amplified by Sessions' $888,000 cash-on-hand edge over Democrats' minimal fundraising. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Jamilah Flores and Casey Shepard, but historical base rates for such seats favor no flip absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,475 거래량
$12,475 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
84%
민주당
14%
$12,475 거래량
$12,475 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,957 거래량
84%
민주당
$3,518 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions' uncontested primary victory on March 3, 2026—securing 100% of the vote with President Trump's endorsement—has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Republican hold in solidly Republican TX-17, where Donald Trump won 57.8% in the 2024 presidential vote and Sessions took 66% in the 2024 general. The district's Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages like partisan lean and incumbency, amplified by Sessions' $888,000 cash-on-hand edge over Democrats' minimal fundraising. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Jamilah Flores and Casey Shepard, but historical base rates for such seats favor no flip absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$12,475종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions' uncontested primary victory on March 3, 2026—securing 100% of the vote with President Trump's endorsement—has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Republican hold in solidly Republican TX-17, where Donald Trump won 57.8% in the 2024 presidential vote and Sessions took 66% in the 2024 general. The district's Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages like partisan lean and incumbency, amplified by Sessions' $888,000 cash-on-hand edge over Democrats' minimal fundraising. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Jamilah Flores and Casey Shepard, but historical base rates for such seats favor no flip absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$12,475종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Sessions' uncontested primary victory on March 3, 2026—securing 100% of the vote with President Trump's endorsement—has solidified trader consensus at 84% for a Republican hold in solidly Republican TX-17, where Donald Trump won 57.8% in the 2024 presidential vote and Sessions took 66% in the 2024 general. The district's Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections underscore structural advantages like partisan lean and incumbency, amplified by Sessions' $888,000 cash-on-hand edge over Democrats' minimal fundraising. Democrats head to a May 26 primary runoff between Jamilah Flores and Casey Shepard, but historical base rates for such seats favor no flip absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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