Everett Jackson's commanding 38% in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District has solidified trader consensus at 83% implied probability for him to claim the nomination via the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (14.5%), with Gregorio Heise (3.6%) and Nils Walker (1.7%) trailing far behind. His 14-point edge over Daniels' 24% share, in a fragmented field where Heise took 19% and Walker 17%, positions Jackson to consolidate support from eliminated rivals in this low-turnout contest within a solidly Democratic Dallas-area seat. No major developments like polls, debates, or endorsements have emerged in the past 30 days to alter the momentum, leaving odds anchored to primary results ahead of early voting.