US forces conducted a rapid special operations raid and airstrikes across northern Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges in Operation Absolute Resolve; Maduro was transferred to US custody while Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency. Subsequent developments include a declared state of emergency, limited US sanctions relief on oil, and a May 23, 2026, US military drill involving MV-22 Ospreys landing near the embassy in Caracas—the first such exercise since the raid. These events, alongside ongoing US naval presence in the Caribbean and negotiations over Venezuelan oil infrastructure, shape trader assessments of any additional US force entries into Venezuelan territory amid regional diplomatic reactions and domestic political transitions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,327,035 거래량
2026.01.31
6월 30일
22%
$1,327,035 거래량
6월 30일
$242,272 거래량
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a rapid special operations raid and airstrikes across northern Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges in Operation Absolute Resolve; Maduro was transferred to US custody while Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency. Subsequent developments include a declared state of emergency, limited US sanctions relief on oil, and a May 23, 2026, US military drill involving MV-22 Ospreys landing near the embassy in Caracas—the first such exercise since the raid. These events, alongside ongoing US naval presence in the Caribbean and negotiations over Venezuelan oil infrastructure, shape trader assessments of any additional US force entries into Venezuelan territory amid regional diplomatic reactions and domestic political transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
거래량
$1,327,035종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a rapid special operations raid and airstrikes across northern Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges in Operation Absolute Resolve; Maduro was transferred to US custody while Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency. Subsequent developments include a declared state of emergency, limited US sanctions relief on oil, and a May 23, 2026, US military drill involving MV-22 Ospreys landing near the embassy in Caracas—the first such exercise since the raid. These events, alongside ongoing US naval presence in the Caribbean and negotiations over Venezuelan oil infrastructure, shape trader assessments of any additional US force entries into Venezuelan territory amid regional diplomatic reactions and domestic political transitions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,327,035종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a rapid special operations raid and airstrikes across northern Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife under narco-terrorism charges in Operation Absolute Resolve; Maduro was transferred to US custody while Vice President Delcy Rodríguez assumed the interim presidency. Subsequent developments include a declared state of emergency, limited US sanctions relief on oil, and a May 23, 2026, US military drill involving MV-22 Ospreys landing near the embassy in Caracas—the first such exercise since the raid. These events, alongside ongoing US naval presence in the Caribbean and negotiations over Venezuelan oil infrastructure, shape trader assessments of any additional US force entries into Venezuelan territory amid regional diplomatic reactions and domestic political transitions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문