US special forces conducted a high-risk raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on US drug trafficking charges, marking the most recent confirmed entry of American military personnel into the country with no US casualties reported. Since then, no further ground, air, or naval entries have occurred amid a stabilizing interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, bolstered by the US lifting sanctions on April 1 to encourage normalization and oil sector reopening. Trader sentiment favors low near-term re-entry probabilities absent triggers like Venezuelan loyalist insurgencies, border security escalations, or expanded anti-cartel operations under the "Shield of the Americas" multinational coalition, with ongoing US seizures of Venezuela-linked oil tankers confined to international waters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,281,852 거래량
2026.01.31
6월 30일
10%
$1,281,852 거래량
6월 30일
$197,089 거래량
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a high-risk raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on US drug trafficking charges, marking the most recent confirmed entry of American military personnel into the country with no US casualties reported. Since then, no further ground, air, or naval entries have occurred amid a stabilizing interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, bolstered by the US lifting sanctions on April 1 to encourage normalization and oil sector reopening. Trader sentiment favors low near-term re-entry probabilities absent triggers like Venezuelan loyalist insurgencies, border security escalations, or expanded anti-cartel operations under the "Shield of the Americas" multinational coalition, with ongoing US seizures of Venezuela-linked oil tankers confined to international waters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
거래량
$1,281,852종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces conducted a high-risk raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on US drug trafficking charges, marking the most recent confirmed entry of American military personnel into the country with no US casualties reported. Since then, no further ground, air, or naval entries have occurred amid a stabilizing interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, bolstered by the US lifting sanctions on April 1 to encourage normalization and oil sector reopening. Trader sentiment favors low near-term re-entry probabilities absent triggers like Venezuelan loyalist insurgencies, border security escalations, or expanded anti-cartel operations under the "Shield of the Americas" multinational coalition, with ongoing US seizures of Venezuela-linked oil tankers confined to international waters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,281,852종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces conducted a high-risk raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores on US drug trafficking charges, marking the most recent confirmed entry of American military personnel into the country with no US casualties reported. Since then, no further ground, air, or naval entries have occurred amid a stabilizing interim government under acting president Delcy Rodríguez, bolstered by the US lifting sanctions on April 1 to encourage normalization and oil sector reopening. Trader sentiment favors low near-term re-entry probabilities absent triggers like Venezuelan loyalist insurgencies, border security escalations, or expanded anti-cartel operations under the "Shield of the Americas" multinational coalition, with ongoing US seizures of Venezuela-linked oil tankers confined to international waters.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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