Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
53%
Republican Party
13%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$753 거래량
53%
Republican Party
$170 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
거래량
$924종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$924종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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