Republicans hold a slim House majority of approximately 218-213 over Democrats as of mid-April 2026, amid four vacancies, reflecting trader consensus at 84.5% against losing control before November midterms. This positioning stems from Republican Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District special election on April 7—sworn in April 14—preserving a key seat after Marjorie Taylor Greene's January resignation. Recent vacancies balance out: Republican Tony Gonzales (TX-23) and Democrat Eric Swalwell (CA-14) resigned April 14, while Doug LaMalfa's (CA-1, R) January death awaits a June special. Tomorrow's New Jersey 11th (former D) special poses minimal flip risk in trader views, with no wave of further resignations or retirements—despite 36 GOP announcements for 2026—threatening pre-midterm control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,220 거래량
$11,220 거래량
2026.11.03
$11,220 거래량
$11,220 거래량
2026.11.03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republicans hold a slim House majority of approximately 218-213 over Democrats as of mid-April 2026, amid four vacancies, reflecting trader consensus at 84.5% against losing control before November midterms. This positioning stems from Republican Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District special election on April 7—sworn in April 14—preserving a key seat after Marjorie Taylor Greene's January resignation. Recent vacancies balance out: Republican Tony Gonzales (TX-23) and Democrat Eric Swalwell (CA-14) resigned April 14, while Doug LaMalfa's (CA-1, R) January death awaits a June special. Tomorrow's New Jersey 11th (former D) special poses minimal flip risk in trader views, with no wave of further resignations or retirements—despite 36 GOP announcements for 2026—threatening pre-midterm control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
거래량
$11,220종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republicans hold a slim House majority of approximately 218-213 over Democrats as of mid-April 2026, amid four vacancies, reflecting trader consensus at 84.5% against losing control before November midterms. This positioning stems from Republican Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District special election on April 7—sworn in April 14—preserving a key seat after Marjorie Taylor Greene's January resignation. Recent vacancies balance out: Republican Tony Gonzales (TX-23) and Democrat Eric Swalwell (CA-14) resigned April 14, while Doug LaMalfa's (CA-1, R) January death awaits a June special. Tomorrow's New Jersey 11th (former D) special poses minimal flip risk in trader views, with no wave of further resignations or retirements—despite 36 GOP announcements for 2026—threatening pre-midterm control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11,220종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a slim House majority of approximately 218-213 over Democrats as of mid-April 2026, amid four vacancies, reflecting trader consensus at 84.5% against losing control before November midterms. This positioning stems from Republican Clay Fuller's victory in Georgia's 14th District special election on April 7—sworn in April 14—preserving a key seat after Marjorie Taylor Greene's January resignation. Recent vacancies balance out: Republican Tony Gonzales (TX-23) and Democrat Eric Swalwell (CA-14) resigned April 14, while Doug LaMalfa's (CA-1, R) January death awaits a June special. Tomorrow's New Jersey 11th (former D) special poses minimal flip risk in trader views, with no wave of further resignations or retirements—despite 36 GOP announcements for 2026—threatening pre-midterm control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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