Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$25,125 거래량
$25,125 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$25,125 거래량
$25,125 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
거래량
$25,125종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$25,125종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026 at just 7%, driven by de-escalation after early-year rhetorical tensions. President Trump's January threats of military action—citing President Petro's handling of drug trafficking and Venezuela ties—prompted Colombia to bolster border defenses and recall its ambassador, but no U.S. troop deployments or airstrikes followed. A February White House summit thawed bilateral relations, with both leaders prioritizing counternarcotics cooperation and Petro requesting U.S. aid against traffickers. No verifiable escalatory developments have occurred in the past 30 days amid Colombia's status as a major non-NATO ally. Late-breaking regional crises, such as Venezuelan spillover, could still shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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