Multiple frontier AI systems reached or exceeded IMO gold-medal thresholds on the 2026 problems through independent or officially graded evaluations, including Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 perfect score and several open-weight models clearing the 29-point cutoff. The International Mathematical Olympiad remains a human-only contest with no regulatory approval or rule changes permitting AI entry or official medals for machines in 2026. This separation between benchmark saturation and live competition rules underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability for “No.” Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen last-minute policy reversals or redefinitions of eligibility, though none materialized before the July event in Shanghai.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
5% szansa
$27,575 Wol.
$27,575 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% szansa
$27,575 Wol.
$27,575 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Multiple frontier AI systems reached or exceeded IMO gold-medal thresholds on the 2026 problems through independent or officially graded evaluations, including Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 perfect score and several open-weight models clearing the 29-point cutoff. The International Mathematical Olympiad remains a human-only contest with no regulatory approval or rule changes permitting AI entry or official medals for machines in 2026. This separation between benchmark saturation and live competition rules underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability for “No.” Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen last-minute policy reversals or redefinitions of eligibility, though none materialized before the July event in Shanghai.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,575Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Multiple frontier AI systems reached or exceeded IMO gold-medal thresholds on the 2026 problems through independent or officially graded evaluations, including Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 perfect score and several open-weight models clearing the 29-point cutoff. The International Mathematical Olympiad remains a human-only contest with no regulatory approval or rule changes permitting AI entry or official medals for machines in 2026. This separation between benchmark saturation and live competition rules underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability for “No.” Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen last-minute policy reversals or redefinitions of eligibility, though none materialized before the July event in Shanghai.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Wolumen
$27,575Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Multiple frontier AI systems reached or exceeded IMO gold-medal thresholds on the 2026 problems through independent or officially graded evaluations, including Xiaohongshu’s dots-note 3.0 perfect score and several open-weight models clearing the 29-point cutoff. The International Mathematical Olympiad remains a human-only contest with no regulatory approval or rule changes permitting AI entry or official medals for machines in 2026. This separation between benchmark saturation and live competition rules underpins the 95.3% market-implied probability for “No.” Potential shifts remain limited to unforeseen last-minute policy reversals or redefinitions of eligibility, though none materialized before the July event in Shanghai.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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