USGS data confirms a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026, at 35 km depth along the subduction interface where the Pacific plate thrusts beneath the North American plate, the most recent M7+ event worldwide and the sole one in the past 30 days. This follows four others in 2026, consistent with the long-term global average of about 16 such quakes annually, primarily along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus reflects this baseline rate—roughly one every 18-20 days—tempered by inherent unpredictability, as earthquakes follow a Poisson-like distribution with no reliable short-term forecasts. Continuous USGS real-time monitoring provides immediate updates on any new seismic activity meeting the M7.0 threshold for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$95,647 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 7
No
April 15
No
April 30
Yes
$95,647 Wol.
April 7
$11,366 Wol.
No
April 15
$21,048 Wol.
No
April 30
$63,234 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data confirms a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026, at 35 km depth along the subduction interface where the Pacific plate thrusts beneath the North American plate, the most recent M7+ event worldwide and the sole one in the past 30 days. This follows four others in 2026, consistent with the long-term global average of about 16 such quakes annually, primarily along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus reflects this baseline rate—roughly one every 18-20 days—tempered by inherent unpredictability, as earthquakes follow a Poisson-like distribution with no reliable short-term forecasts. Continuous USGS real-time monitoring provides immediate updates on any new seismic activity meeting the M7.0 threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$95,647Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data confirms a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026, at 35 km depth along the subduction interface where the Pacific plate thrusts beneath the North American plate, the most recent M7+ event worldwide and the sole one in the past 30 days. This follows four others in 2026, consistent with the long-term global average of about 16 such quakes annually, primarily along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus reflects this baseline rate—roughly one every 18-20 days—tempered by inherent unpredictability, as earthquakes follow a Poisson-like distribution with no reliable short-term forecasts. Continuous USGS real-time monitoring provides immediate updates on any new seismic activity meeting the M7.0 threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Wolumen
$95,647Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
USGS data confirms a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026, at 35 km depth along the subduction interface where the Pacific plate thrusts beneath the North American plate, the most recent M7+ event worldwide and the sole one in the past 30 days. This follows four others in 2026, consistent with the long-term global average of about 16 such quakes annually, primarily along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader consensus reflects this baseline rate—roughly one every 18-20 days—tempered by inherent unpredictability, as earthquakes follow a Poisson-like distribution with no reliable short-term forecasts. Continuous USGS real-time monitoring provides immediate updates on any new seismic activity meeting the M7.0 threshold for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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