Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$3,726 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
April 30
No
May 15
No
May 31
No
$3,726 Wol.
April 30
$178 Wol.
No
May 15
$1,436 Wol.
No
May 31
$2,112 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,726Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$3,726Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's 45th Parliament, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals between November 2025 and April 2026, including four Conservatives and one New Democrat. These shifts, driven by cited policy alignments and caucus dynamics, helped deliver the Liberals a majority following April by-elections. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as backroom maneuvers undermining voter mandates, while public polling shows divided Canadian views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred since the most recent defection in early April, amid a stabilized Liberal majority and focus on ongoing legislative priorities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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