Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figure Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced personal loyalty at the highest levels. No credible reports or organized challenges have emerged since earlier unverified rumors dissipated, consistent with decades of CCP dominance and institutional mechanisms that suppress elite dissent. While abrupt leadership transitions, severe economic shocks, or major foreign policy reversals could theoretically create openings, such developments remain speculative and have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$153,468 Wol.
$153,468 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$153,468 Wol.
$153,468 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figure Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced personal loyalty at the highest levels. No credible reports or organized challenges have emerged since earlier unverified rumors dissipated, consistent with decades of CCP dominance and institutional mechanisms that suppress elite dissent. While abrupt leadership transitions, severe economic shocks, or major foreign policy reversals could theoretically create openings, such developments remain speculative and have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$153,468Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figure Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced personal loyalty at the highest levels. No credible reports or organized challenges have emerged since earlier unverified rumors dissipated, consistent with decades of CCP dominance and institutional mechanisms that suppress elite dissent. While abrupt leadership transitions, severe economic shocks, or major foreign policy reversals could theoretically create openings, such developments remain speculative and have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$153,478Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s entrenched control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive anti-corruption purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior military figure Zhang Youxia, have removed potential rivals and reinforced personal loyalty at the highest levels. No credible reports or organized challenges have emerged since earlier unverified rumors dissipated, consistent with decades of CCP dominance and institutional mechanisms that suppress elite dissent. While abrupt leadership transitions, severe economic shocks, or major foreign policy reversals could theoretically create openings, such developments remain speculative and have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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