Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

icon for Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Fernando Dias da Costa 15.6%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%

José Mário Vaz 2.6%

Baciro Djá 1.6%

Polymarket

$339,078 Wol.

Fernando Dias da Costa 15.6%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló 5.0%

José Mário Vaz 2.6%

Baciro Djá 1.6%

Polymarket

$339,078 Wol.

Fernando Dias da Costa

$58,092 Wol.

22%

Umaro Sissoco Embaló

$90,865 Wol.

12%

José Mário Vaz

$22,282 Wol.

3%

Baciro Djá

$14,539 Wol.

2%

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19,458 Wol.

2%

João Bernardo Vieira

$16,799 Wol.

2%

Honório Augusto Lopes

$18,792 Wol.

2%

João de Deus Mendes

$17,879 Wol.

2%

Mamadu Iaia Djaló

$19,952 Wol.

1%

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18,350 Wol.

1%

Siga Batista

$25,652 Wol.

1%

Herculano Armando Bequinsa

$16,419 Wol.

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, presidential election follows a November 2025 coup that annulled results from a contested vote, a military-led transition under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and an August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded executive authority while shrinking parliament. Fernando Dias da Costa, backed by elements of the former opposition PAI-Terra Ranka alliance after PAIGC exclusion, and former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead a crowded field of over a dozen candidates under the two-round system. Trader consensus shows no dominant contender because recent instability, residency eligibility rules, the absence of public polling, and fragmented party support keep probabilities dispersed. Upcoming campaign developments, endorsements, or shifts in military posture could consolidate support ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Wolumen
$339,078
Data zakończenia
Nov 23, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The December 6, 2026, presidential election follows a November 2025 coup that annulled results from a contested vote, a military-led transition under General Horta Inta-A Na Man, and an August 2026 constitutional referendum that expanded executive authority while shrinking parliament. Fernando Dias da Costa, backed by elements of the former opposition PAI-Terra Ranka alliance after PAIGC exclusion, and former president Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead a crowded field of over a dozen candidates under the two-round system. Trader consensus shows no dominant contender because recent instability, residency eligibility rules, the absence of public polling, and fragmented party support keep probabilities dispersed. Upcoming campaign developments, endorsements, or shifts in military posture could consolidate support ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Wolumen
$339,078
Data zakończenia
Nov 23, 2025
Rynek otwarty
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

Powiązane

icon for Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

27%
icon for Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?

77%
icon for Czy Flávio Bolsonaro zajmie drugie miejsce w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii w 2026 roku?

Czy Flávio Bolsonaro zajmie drugie miejsce w pierwszej turze wyborów prezydenckich w Brazylii w 2026 roku?

89%
Tak

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 12 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Fernando Dias da Costa" z 22%, za nim "Umaro Sissoco Embaló" z 12%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 22¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 22% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" wygenerował $339.1K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 6, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election", przeglądaj 12 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" jest "Fernando Dias da Costa" z 22%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 22% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Umaro Sissoco Embaló" z 12%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.