Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 22?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 Wol.
$43,695 Wol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$43,695 Wol.
$43,695 Wol.
May 22, 2026
20°C or below
$687 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,677 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,296 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,937 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,227 Wol.
No
25°C
$8,914 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$7,243 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,447 Wol.
No
28°C
$2,336 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,749 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,181 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,695Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$43,695Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and European ensemble models has positioned Amsterdam’s daily maximum near 25°C on May 22, driven by southerly flow advecting mild air masses under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. Afternoon observations and updated model runs continue to cluster tightly in the 24–26°C range, consistent with May climatology where highs rarely exceed 26°C without stronger high-pressure ridging or atypical warm-air intrusions. This tight consensus underpins the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 25°C outcome. Only a late-day surge in insolation or an unexpected shift in steering patterns could realistically push readings into the next bracket before official station data finalize the result.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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