Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 14 project a daily high near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure and southerly flow that sustains humidity and limits stronger mixing. This consensus, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where the seasonal peak averages 99°F, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%). Minor model differences in cloud cover and timing of any weak disturbances introduce the modest probability assigned to 100–101°F. Fresh guidance from the next model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution around the 100°F threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$12 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$32 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$34 Wol.
5%
94-95°F
$28 Wol.
7%
96-97°F
$50 Wol.
35%
98-99°F
$280 Wol.
46%
100-101°F
$54 Wol.
10%
102-103°F
$22 Wol.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Wol.
2%
106°F or higher
$275 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 14 project a daily high near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure and southerly flow that sustains humidity and limits stronger mixing. This consensus, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where the seasonal peak averages 99°F, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%). Minor model differences in cloud cover and timing of any weak disturbances introduce the modest probability assigned to 100–101°F. Fresh guidance from the next model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution around the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$924Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 14 project a daily high near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure and southerly flow that sustains humidity and limits stronger mixing. This consensus, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where the seasonal peak averages 99°F, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%). Minor model differences in cloud cover and timing of any weak disturbances introduce the modest probability assigned to 100–101°F. Fresh guidance from the next model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution around the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$924Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin on August 14 project a daily high near 99–101°F under persistent high pressure and southerly flow that sustains humidity and limits stronger mixing. This consensus, consistent with typical late-summer climatology where the seasonal peak averages 99°F, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (34.5%). Minor model differences in cloud cover and timing of any weak disturbances introduce the modest probability assigned to 100–101°F. Fresh guidance from the next model runs and any overnight observations will be the next key inputs for traders assessing resolution around the 100°F threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania