National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 12 center on a daily high near 71°F, supported by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that limits afternoon warming. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where highs average around 69–70°F and rarely exceed 73°F without a strong offshore wind shift. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping the 68–71°F range as the clear market focus, while lower probabilities on 72°F+ reflect the low likelihood of marine layer erosion or warmer advection reaching the coast before peak heating. Traders are weighting official observations from KSFO and similar stations, which have trended in this narrow band amid stable synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 12?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
NOWE
$16,037 Wol.
NOWE
$16,037 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
NOWE
$16,037 Wol.
NOWE
$16,037 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$397 Wol.
1%
64-65°F
$1,256 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,040 Wol.
5%
68-69°F
$2,685 Wol.
30%
70-71°F
$3,701 Wol.
45%
72-73°F
$1,057 Wol.
19%
74-75°F
$1,148 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$2,050 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,937 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$381 Wol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$386 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 12 center on a daily high near 71°F, supported by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that limits afternoon warming. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where highs average around 69–70°F and rarely exceed 73°F without a strong offshore wind shift. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping the 68–71°F range as the clear market focus, while lower probabilities on 72°F+ reflect the low likelihood of marine layer erosion or warmer advection reaching the coast before peak heating. Traders are weighting official observations from KSFO and similar stations, which have trended in this narrow band amid stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,037Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 12 center on a daily high near 71°F, supported by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that limits afternoon warming. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where highs average around 69–70°F and rarely exceed 73°F without a strong offshore wind shift. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping the 68–71°F range as the clear market focus, while lower probabilities on 72°F+ reflect the low likelihood of marine layer erosion or warmer advection reaching the coast before peak heating. Traders are weighting official observations from KSFO and similar stations, which have trended in this narrow band amid stable synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$16,037Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 12 center on a daily high near 71°F, supported by a persistent marine layer and steady onshore flow from the cool Pacific that limits afternoon warming. These conditions align with typical August climatology, where highs average around 69–70°F and rarely exceed 73°F without a strong offshore wind shift. Recent model runs show limited spread, keeping the 68–71°F range as the clear market focus, while lower probabilities on 72°F+ reflect the low likelihood of marine layer erosion or warmer advection reaching the coast before peak heating. Traders are weighting official observations from KSFO and similar stations, which have trended in this narrow band amid stable synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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