Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on June 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 16?
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Wol.
$42,434 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$42,434 Wol.
$42,434 Wol.
Jun 16, 2026
75°F or below
$2,475 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$2,049 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$2,668 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$6,449 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$3,527 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,659 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$4,832 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$3,284 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$6,070 Wol.
Yes
92-93°F
$4,613 Wol.
No
94°F or higher
$2,809 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$42,434Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$42,434Data zakończenia
Jun 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F on June 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome at near-100% probability. Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from overnight storms moderated daytime heating below seasonal normals of around 93°F, while surface observations and model guidance showed limited afternoon recovery under partly cloudy skies. This narrow range reflects typical early-summer variability when convective activity suppresses peak temperatures without dropping into the 80s. A realistic challenge to resolution in this bin would require post-event data revisions from the NWS climatological report, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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