Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 Wol.
$88,711 Wol.
May 7, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 Wol.
$88,711 Wol.
May 7, 2026
65°F or below
$16,797 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$12,585 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$6,430 Wol.
Yes
70-71°F
$6,913 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$4,678 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$6,062 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$9,797 Wol.
No
78-79°F
$7,601 Wol.
No
80-81°F
$7,831 Wol.
No
82-83°F
$5,034 Wol.
No
84°F or higher
$4,983 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$88,711Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$88,711Data zakończenia
May 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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