Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 Wol.
$78,705 Wol.
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 Wol.
$78,705 Wol.
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
$2,042 Wol.
No
17°C
$4,320 Wol.
No
18°C
$6,766 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,648 Wol.
No
20°C
$10,406 Wol.
No
21°C
$8,321 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,913 Wol.
No
23°C
$7,612 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,315 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$9,784 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$10,578 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$78,705Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$78,705Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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