National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 3?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 Wol.
$43,873 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$43,873 Wol.
$43,873 Wol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service observations at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) show temperatures already climbing to 80°F mid-afternoon on May 3 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, locking in a daily high well above 74°F and fueling 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. NOAA forecast models, including the latest GFS and ECMWF runs, project a peak near 82°F with continued sunshine through sunset, consistent with above-normal spring warmth following record-hot March 2026 averages exceeding 67°F. Trader consensus reflects this observational certainty from official stations, where daily maxima are typically finalized late afternoon. Scenarios challenging this are virtually nonexistent barring rare data revisions, as the threshold is already surpassed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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