National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F in Denver on August 16 amid increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after 3 p.m., establishing the primary driver behind the market's close contest between 82-83°F (39.5% implied) and 84-85°F (30.5%). Moisture advection from the southeast, combined with weak steering flow and daytime heating, supports modest convective development that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August baselines near 88°F underscore how this pattern deviates, while ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity. Traders weigh these variables against official observations at Denver International Airport, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading before evening cooling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 16?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 36%
80-81°F 13%
86-87°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
73°F or below
$829 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$700 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$343 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$526 Wol.
4%
80-81°F
$929 Wol.
13%
82-83°F
$378 Wol.
41%
84-85°F
$818 Wol.
36%
86-87°F
$208 Wol.
7%
88-89°F
$119 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$443 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$314 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F in Denver on August 16 amid increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after 3 p.m., establishing the primary driver behind the market's close contest between 82-83°F (39.5% implied) and 84-85°F (30.5%). Moisture advection from the southeast, combined with weak steering flow and daytime heating, supports modest convective development that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August baselines near 88°F underscore how this pattern deviates, while ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity. Traders weigh these variables against official observations at Denver International Airport, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,609Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F in Denver on August 16 amid increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after 3 p.m., establishing the primary driver behind the market's close contest between 82-83°F (39.5% implied) and 84-85°F (30.5%). Moisture advection from the southeast, combined with weak steering flow and daytime heating, supports modest convective development that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August baselines near 88°F underscore how this pattern deviates, while ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity. Traders weigh these variables against official observations at Denver International Airport, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading before evening cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,609Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 82°F in Denver on August 16 amid increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm chances after 3 p.m., establishing the primary driver behind the market's close contest between 82-83°F (39.5% implied) and 84-85°F (30.5%). Moisture advection from the southeast, combined with weak steering flow and daytime heating, supports modest convective development that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical August baselines near 88°F underscore how this pattern deviates, while ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity. Traders weigh these variables against official observations at Denver International Airport, with resolution hinging on the day's peak reading before evening cooling.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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