Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 20?
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Wol.
$177,304 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
28°C or below 99.9%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$177,304 Wol.
$177,304 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
28°C or below
$68,649 Wol.
Yes
29°C
$12,734 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,869 Wol.
No
31°C
$9,912 Wol.
No
32°C
$13,344 Wol.
No
33°C
$15,262 Wol.
No
34°C
$12,964 Wol.
No
35°C
$10,705 Wol.
No
36°C
$9,086 Wol.
No
37°C
$6,393 Wol.
No
38°C or higher
$8,387 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$177,304Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$177,304Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:27 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Official METAR observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos, Nigeria—the authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 28°C or below, driving Polymarket's 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Persistent low-level clouds and afternoon thunderstorms, as predicted by Nigeria Meteorological Agency (NiMet) forecasts, sharply reduced solar insolation and suppressed daytime heating, well below April climatological averages of 32–34°C amid the transition to wet season. This aligns with historical patterns where early rains cool urban heat islands. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include post hoc data revisions from equipment calibration issues or auxiliary station discrepancies, though airport synoptic records carry highest evidentiary weight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania