Persistent monsoon activity with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for August 27. Official IMD forecasts indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with recent observations where daily highs have ranged 30–34°C amid active Bay of Bengal low-pressure influences. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with only modest warming possible if rainfall decreases. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of continued moisture against typical late-August climatology near 31°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 24%
32°C 23%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$339 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$83 Wol.
1%
27°C
$97 Wol.
1%
28°C
$56 Wol.
1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
7%
30°C
$335 Wol.
24%
31°C
$112 Wol.
36%
32°C
$195 Wol.
23%
33°C
$252 Wol.
11%
34°C
$0 Wol.
4%
35°C or higher
$83 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for August 27. Official IMD forecasts indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with recent observations where daily highs have ranged 30–34°C amid active Bay of Bengal low-pressure influences. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with only modest warming possible if rainfall decreases. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of continued moisture against typical late-August climatology near 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,551Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon activity with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for August 27. Official IMD forecasts indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with recent observations where daily highs have ranged 30–34°C amid active Bay of Bengal low-pressure influences. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with only modest warming possible if rainfall decreases. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of continued moisture against typical late-August climatology near 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,551Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon activity with widespread cloud cover, thundershowers, and high humidity across Uttar Pradesh is the dominant factor capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow around 30–32°C for August 27. Official IMD forecasts indicate generally overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, consistent with recent observations where daily highs have ranged 30–34°C amid active Bay of Bengal low-pressure influences. These conditions suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability through the period, with only modest warming possible if rainfall decreases. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of continued moisture against typical late-August climatology near 31°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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