Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 26?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$110,480 Wol.
$110,480 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$110,480 Wol.
$110,480 Wol.
Apr 26, 2026
20°C or below
$1,505 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,793 Wol.
No
22°C
$4,348 Wol.
No
23°C
$7,754 Wol.
No
24°C
$34,567 Wol.
No
25°C
$15,060 Wol.
No
26°C
$11,694 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$11,878 Wol.
No
28°C
$10,525 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,017 Wol.
No
30°C or higher
$5,339 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$110,480Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$110,480Data zakończenia
Apr 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official AEMET observations from the Madrid-Barajas Airport station—the market's key resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 26.3°C at 19:20 on April 26, 2026, driving full trader consensus (100% implied probability) on the 26°C outcome, rounded to the nearest whole degree per market rules. This aligns with preceding forecasts projecting 25-26°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and partly cloudy skies that limited cooling, against Madrid's typical April highs of 17-20°C on the Saffir-Simpson baseline climatology. While data revisions by AEMET are rare post-publication, an unlikely correction to 27°C or higher based on sensor recalibration could challenge positioning, though final hourly logs confirm no such shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania