Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate Manila will likely see a daily high near 30–32°C on August 15 amid the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders at 30–32°C by suppressing peak insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while historical August baselines in the low 30s provide context. Minor model differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread among outcomes, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings higher before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 15?
31°C 24%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
20%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 24%
30°C 20%
32°C 19%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$44 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$44 Wol.
1%
27°C
$22 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$8 Wol.
4%
29°C
$21 Wol.
10%
30°C
$0 Wol.
20%
31°C
$0 Wol.
24%
32°C
$0 Wol.
19%
33°C
$0 Wol.
11%
34°C
$22 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$32 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate Manila will likely see a daily high near 30–32°C on August 15 amid the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders at 30–32°C by suppressing peak insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while historical August baselines in the low 30s provide context. Minor model differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread among outcomes, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$171Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate Manila will likely see a daily high near 30–32°C on August 15 amid the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders at 30–32°C by suppressing peak insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while historical August baselines in the low 30s provide context. Minor model differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread among outcomes, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$171Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate Manila will likely see a daily high near 30–32°C on August 15 amid the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limits daytime heating. These conditions favor the tightly bunched market leaders at 30–32°C by suppressing peak insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, while historical August baselines in the low 30s provide context. Minor model differences in rainfall timing and intensity create the narrow spread among outcomes, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing readings higher before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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