National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on May 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 2?
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Wol.
$166,472 Wol.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$166,472 Wol.
$166,472 Wol.
May 2, 2026
83°F or below
$5,047 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$7,928 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$7,776 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$21,924 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$22,918 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$23,342 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$27,561 Wol.
Yes
96-97°F
$20,128 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$7,801 Wol.
No
100-101°F
$10,572 Wol.
No
102°F or higher
$11,475 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$166,472Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$166,472Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a high temperature of 94°F on May 2, 2026, at 2:46 p.m. local time, as detailed in the official daily climatological summary—marking a new record that surpasses the prior 93°F mark from 1937 amid mostly sunny skies, southwest winds, and above-normal heat. This direct measurement from automated surface observing systems drives the 100% market-implied probability for 94-95°F, reflecting trader consensus on verified NOAA data with real capital at stake. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare post-processing quality control revisions by NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania