Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature in Milan on September 2 most likely between 29–31 °C, with ensemble guidance clustering near 30 °C under stable high pressure and light winds that limit mixing and allow afternoon heating. Partly cloudy conditions and a modest chance of showers could cap the peak slightly below peak summer values, while the Po Valley’s typical thermal inertia supports readings near or above the seasonal average of roughly 26–28 °C. Traders have priced the 30 °C outcome highest because model consensus has remained steady over the past 48 hours, with limited spread in maximum-temperature guidance and no strong signals for either significant cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated model runs expected later today will provide the next key data point for refining these probabilities.