Traders have converged on 17°C as the near-certain high for Munich on June 11 because official forecasts from European meteorological services and real-time observations consistently point to a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly cloudy, showery conditions. Early-morning readings near 11–12°C and model consensus for afternoon peaks around 17°C, well below the June climatological average of 21–22°C, have eliminated meaningful probability for other outcomes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the stability of short-range numerical weather prediction for a mid-latitude summer day with limited diurnal variability. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized station measurement differing by even 1°C from the primary reporting site could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on June 11?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 11?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$97,351 Wol.
$97,351 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$97,351 Wol.
$97,351 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
$511 Wol.
No
12°C
$566 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,108 Wol.
No
14°C
$6,501 Wol.
No
15°C
$10,969 Wol.
No
16°C
$14,713 Wol.
No
17°C
$20,903 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$32,329 Wol.
No
19°C
$6,558 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,102 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$1,090 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 17°C as the near-certain high for Munich on June 11 because official forecasts from European meteorological services and real-time observations consistently point to a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly cloudy, showery conditions. Early-morning readings near 11–12°C and model consensus for afternoon peaks around 17°C, well below the June climatological average of 21–22°C, have eliminated meaningful probability for other outcomes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the stability of short-range numerical weather prediction for a mid-latitude summer day with limited diurnal variability. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized station measurement differing by even 1°C from the primary reporting site could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$97,351Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 17°C as the near-certain high for Munich on June 11 because official forecasts from European meteorological services and real-time observations consistently point to a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly cloudy, showery conditions. Early-morning readings near 11–12°C and model consensus for afternoon peaks around 17°C, well below the June climatological average of 21–22°C, have eliminated meaningful probability for other outcomes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the stability of short-range numerical weather prediction for a mid-latitude summer day with limited diurnal variability. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized station measurement differing by even 1°C from the primary reporting site could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$97,351Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders have converged on 17°C as the near-certain high for Munich on June 11 because official forecasts from European meteorological services and real-time observations consistently point to a daily maximum in that narrow range under mostly cloudy, showery conditions. Early-morning readings near 11–12°C and model consensus for afternoon peaks around 17°C, well below the June climatological average of 21–22°C, have eliminated meaningful probability for other outcomes. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the stability of short-range numerical weather prediction for a mid-latitude summer day with limited diurnal variability. A late-afternoon clearing trend or localized station measurement differing by even 1°C from the primary reporting site could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current atmospheric steering patterns make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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