Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on April 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 28?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 Wol.
$129,058 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$129,058 Wol.
$129,058 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
55°F or below
$6,897 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$4,486 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$7,340 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$7,953 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$30,562 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$22,101 Wol.
Yes
66-67°F
$16,126 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$16,110 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$6,464 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$4,186 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$6,834 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$129,058Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$129,058Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station—the authoritative source for New York City temperatures—recorded a maximum of 64-65°F on April 28, driving Polymarket trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as the market effectively resolves. This matched pre-event National Weather Service guidance and NOAA GFS/ECMWF model consensus projecting mid-60s peaks amid a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, sunny skies for optimal solar heating, and light winds curbing sea-breeze moderation. Starting from morning readings near 51°F after overnight lows around 46°F, conditions adhered to late-April climatology with normal highs of 61-67°F. Realistic challenges include rare NWS data revisions from equipment calibration issues or quality control audits, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification. Hourly updates through the 2-5 PM EDT peak finalized the record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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