Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on May 2?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 2?
60-61°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$145,790 Wol.
$145,790 Wol.
May 2, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$145,790 Wol.
$145,790 Wol.
May 2, 2026
51°F or below
$6,102 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$4,477 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$4,015 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$9,674 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$43,632 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$25,537 Wol.
Yes
62-63°F
$20,102 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$9,687 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$6,217 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$2,927 Wol.
No
70°F or higher
$13,421 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$145,790Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$145,790Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to 60-61°F as New York City's highest temperature on May 2, backed by National Weather Service automated observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), which recorded a peak of 61°F around 6 PM EDT amid overcast skies, northwest winds of 8-12 mph, and unseasonably cool post-frontal conditions. These measurements align with pre-event NOAA forecast guidance projecting highs near 60°F under persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, well below the early May climatological average of 67°F. While final daily climate summaries could theoretically note minor adjustments from quality-controlled data, hourly ASOS readings provide robust evidence against shifts, with realistic challenges limited to rare instrument anomalies or data corrections.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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