Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on May 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 6?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 Wol.
$439,318 Wol.
May 6, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$439,318 Wol.
$439,318 Wol.
May 6, 2026
55°F or below
$3,460 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$1,038 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$3,441 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$120,441 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$117,854 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$16,558 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$53,461 Wol.
Yes
68-69°F
$29,525 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$33,497 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$25,879 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$34,164 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$439,318Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$439,318Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:48 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from New York City Central Park (KNYC) and LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) stations confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 66-67°F, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns with NOAA ensemble forecast models predicting highs near 67°F amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain totaling about 0.5 inches, and cool northerly airflow that displaced prior summer-like warmth. Typical early May highs average 69°F, but the frontal boundary suppressed temperatures effectively. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post hoc data revision for sensor anomalies could shift resolution, as corroborated by multiple stations and Wunderground records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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