Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeded the late-April climatological average of about 16°C by 6°C, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that clustered around 20–23°C in the days prior. While provisional data carries minimal risk of revision through Météo-France's quality control process, an improbable sensor recalibration or overlooked extreme reading could shift resolution, though historical validation rates affirm such stability. Final certified records are expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on April 27?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$147,868 Wol.
$147,868 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$147,868 Wol.
$147,868 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure ridge, exceeded the late-April climatological average of about 16°C by 6°C, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that clustered around 20–23°C in the days prior. While provisional data carries minimal risk of revision through Météo-France's quality control process, an improbable sensor recalibration or overlooked extreme reading could shift resolution, though historical validation rates affirm such stability. Final certified records are expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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