The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on July 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 18?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$52,115 Wol.
$52,115 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$52,115 Wol.
$52,115 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
55°F or below
$5,334 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$2,586 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$1,855 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$2,477 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$7,418 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$4,482 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$4,252 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$4,587 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$5,416 Wol.
Yes
72-73°F
$5,260 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$8,448 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$52,115Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52,115Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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