National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 1?
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
63°F or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$15 Wol.
2%
66-67°F
$24 Wol.
1%
68-69°F
$9 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
11%
72-73°F
$18 Wol.
24%
74-75°F
$54 Wol.
37%
76-77°F
$192 Wol.
23%
78-79°F
$5 Wol.
6%
80-81°F
$22 Wol.
1%
82°F or higher
$31 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$407Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$407Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny conditions and a high near 75°F in San Francisco on August 1, aligning with the market's leading 74-75°F bin. Persistent marine-layer influence and onshore westerly winds typically cap coastal maxima in the mid-70s during early August, though reduced fog depth or a temporary offshore flow shift could push readings into the upper 70s. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet San Francisco's sharp microclimates introduce resolution uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations. The spread across bins reflects traders weighting these boundary-layer factors against climatological norms near 68-70°F.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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