Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 18?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 Wol.
$38,954 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$38,954 Wol.
$38,954 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
49°F or below
$1,207 Wol.
No
50-51°F
$1,082 Wol.
No
52-53°F
$3,337 Wol.
No
54-55°F
$2,635 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$2,885 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$1,991 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$3,763 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$3,342 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$3,956 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$6,135 Wol.
No
68°F or higher
$8,622 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,954Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$38,954Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, reached 72°F around 2:45 p.m. PDT amid mostly sunny skies, light west winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge over Northern California—aligning precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus projecting daytime highs near 69–71°F. This trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 68°F or higher reflects verified ASOS data from the automated surface observing system, which captures peak readings with high reliability. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc revisions to official records, such as equipment malfunctions or data quality issues, though historical precedents show maximum temperatures are seldom adjusted. The market nears resolution pending final Weather Underground validation using KSFO data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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