Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs, combined with persistent but weakened marine layer conditions, have driven trader consensus toward a 70-71°F high as the leading outcome for San Francisco on August 7. Reduced fog frequency this season—linked to lingering El Niño influences—has allowed more sunshine and modest warming above the long-term August average of 69°F, yet strong onshore flow continues to cap extremes near the coast. This aligns with day-to-day forecasts showing upper 60s to low 70s, with low probability mass on 74°F+ reflecting limited inland heat advection potential. Upcoming afternoon observations from KSFO will resolve the market as temperatures peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 7?
70-71°F 47%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
NOWE
$13,781 Wol.
NOWE
$13,781 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 47%
68-69°F 26%
72-73°F 19%
74-75°F 5%
NOWE
$13,781 Wol.
NOWE
$13,781 Wol.
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
$1,116 Wol.
3%
66-67°F
$2,067 Wol.
4%
68-69°F
$2,932 Wol.
26%
70-71°F
$2,610 Wol.
47%
72-73°F
$770 Wol.
19%
74-75°F
$308 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$630 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,237 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,219 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$471 Wol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$462 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs, combined with persistent but weakened marine layer conditions, have driven trader consensus toward a 70-71°F high as the leading outcome for San Francisco on August 7. Reduced fog frequency this season—linked to lingering El Niño influences—has allowed more sunshine and modest warming above the long-term August average of 69°F, yet strong onshore flow continues to cap extremes near the coast. This aligns with day-to-day forecasts showing upper 60s to low 70s, with low probability mass on 74°F+ reflecting limited inland heat advection potential. Upcoming afternoon observations from KSFO will resolve the market as temperatures peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,781Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs, combined with persistent but weakened marine layer conditions, have driven trader consensus toward a 70-71°F high as the leading outcome for San Francisco on August 7. Reduced fog frequency this season—linked to lingering El Niño influences—has allowed more sunshine and modest warming above the long-term August average of 69°F, yet strong onshore flow continues to cap extremes near the coast. This aligns with day-to-day forecasts showing upper 60s to low 70s, with low probability mass on 74°F+ reflecting limited inland heat advection potential. Upcoming afternoon observations from KSFO will resolve the market as temperatures peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,781Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model runs, combined with persistent but weakened marine layer conditions, have driven trader consensus toward a 70-71°F high as the leading outcome for San Francisco on August 7. Reduced fog frequency this season—linked to lingering El Niño influences—has allowed more sunshine and modest warming above the long-term August average of 69°F, yet strong onshore flow continues to cap extremes near the coast. This aligns with day-to-day forecasts showing upper 60s to low 70s, with low probability mass on 74°F+ reflecting limited inland heat advection potential. Upcoming afternoon observations from KSFO will resolve the market as temperatures peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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