Recent forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will see above-average maximum temperatures for August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of any weak frontal passage. This aligns with the recent 28°C reading on August 6 and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized urban heat effects at official stations. Model runs show only modest spread in peak values, leaving resolution dependent on precise 24-hour observations rather than larger-scale shifts. Updated guidance expected from INMET before resolution will likely refine the final consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
28°C 35%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
35%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 35%
29°C 27%
30°C 23%
27°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$203 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$268 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$87 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$107 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$183 Wol.
3%
27°C
$724 Wol.
12%
28°C
$324 Wol.
35%
29°C
$1,529 Wol.
27%
30°C
$1,317 Wol.
23%
31°C
$99 Wol.
3%
32°C or higher
$103 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will see above-average maximum temperatures for August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of any weak frontal passage. This aligns with the recent 28°C reading on August 6 and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized urban heat effects at official stations. Model runs show only modest spread in peak values, leaving resolution dependent on precise 24-hour observations rather than larger-scale shifts. Updated guidance expected from INMET before resolution will likely refine the final consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,943Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will see above-average maximum temperatures for August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of any weak frontal passage. This aligns with the recent 28°C reading on August 6 and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized urban heat effects at official stations. Model runs show only modest spread in peak values, leaving resolution dependent on precise 24-hour observations rather than larger-scale shifts. Updated guidance expected from INMET before resolution will likely refine the final consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,943Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from INMET and regional models indicate São Paulo will see above-average maximum temperatures for August, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover ahead of any weak frontal passage. This aligns with the recent 28°C reading on August 6 and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Key variables differentiating these outcomes include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing, and any localized urban heat effects at official stations. Model runs show only modest spread in peak values, leaving resolution dependent on precise 24-hour observations rather than larger-scale shifts. Updated guidance expected from INMET before resolution will likely refine the final consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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