Forecast models for São Paulo on June 23, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 21–23 °C because the city sits under a cool winter airmass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season, with limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and possible weak frontal passages. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any cold-air advection from the south, variations in low-level wind direction that either enhance or suppress urban heat-island effects, and model spread in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. ECMWF and GFS runs show modest disagreement on whether a brief clearing will allow an extra degree of afternoon warming or whether lingering moisture keeps readings closer to 21 °C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against historical June maxima near 22–25 °C, producing the tight distribution seen in current market prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 23?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,121 Wol.
$69,121 Wol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$69,121 Wol.
$69,121 Wol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast models for São Paulo on June 23, 2026, cluster around a daily maximum of 21–23 °C because the city sits under a cool winter airmass typical of the Southern Hemisphere dry season, with limited solar heating from partial cloud cover and possible weak frontal passages. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on precise timing of any cold-air advection from the south, variations in low-level wind direction that either enhance or suppress urban heat-island effects, and model spread in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing. ECMWF and GFS runs show modest disagreement on whether a brief clearing will allow an extra degree of afternoon warming or whether lingering moisture keeps readings closer to 21 °C. Traders weigh these uncertainties against historical June maxima near 22–25 °C, producing the tight distribution seen in current market prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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