Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 6?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 Wol.
$38,071 Wol.
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$38,071 Wol.
$38,071 Wol.
May 6, 2026
24°C or below
$1,608 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,496 Wol.
No
26°C
$3,285 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,169 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,205 Wol.
No
29°C
$6,163 Wol.
Yes
30°C
$4,465 Wol.
No
31°C
$4,803 Wol.
No
32°C
$2,519 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,158 Wol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,199 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$38,071Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$38,071Data zakończenia
May 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport weather station confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 6, 2026, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome amid trader consensus backed by real-money positions. A dominant mass of dry air over southeastern Brazil suppressed cloud cover, enabling strong solar insolation and temperatures aligning precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of 28-29°C maxima under clear skies and low humidity around 60%. This fits early May climatology, where autumn highs average 22-23°C but recent above-normal warmth—tied to lingering subtropical ridge patterns—pushed peaks higher. Scenarios challenging this include potential INMET data revisions from quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though verified reports from multiple sources make such shifts highly improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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