Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on April 19?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$119,752 Wol.
$119,752 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$119,752 Wol.
$119,752 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus pins a 100% implied probability on 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on April 19, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peak readings at or below this threshold at key stations like Changi, with no significant escalation in the latest hourly data amid afternoon thundery showers. April's inter-monsoon climatology typically yields daily maximums around 31–33°C, supported by consistent model runs from NEA forecasting light winds and cloud cover suppressing further warming before sunset near 7 PM. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-day heat burst from sudden clearing skies, though historical precedents and current humidity levels (above 70%) make exceeding 32°C unlikely without major forecast divergence. Final NEA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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