Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 20?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 Wol.
$84,692 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$84,692 Wol.
$84,692 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, at the Songshan Airport station, backed by real-time observations from the Central Weather Administration (CWA) and METAR reports showing a peak of 32°C amid mostly clear skies, 49% relative humidity, and stable pressures around 1013 hPa. Diurnal heating has peaked mid-afternoon under light easterly winds, with CWA's latest forecast capping daytime highs at 32–33°C before cooling into evening. This aligns with April climatological norms of 24–27°C averages but recent warmer trends in the upper 20s–low 30s°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine or adiabatic warming from terrain effects pushing to 33°C+, though declining solar angles reduce this risk as observations finalize by midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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