**Recent forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Taipei’s September 17 high, aligning with the market’s 45.5% and 32.0% implied odds.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models show a northeast monsoon flow maintaining partly cloudy skies and moderate winds of 4–7 m/s, limiting extreme heating while allowing daytime temperatures to reach the low 30s. Current observations on September 16 (highs near 26–28°C) and short-range model runs indicate minimal precipitation risk (<10–15%) and stable pressure around 1013–1015 hPa, supporting modest warming. Historical September climatology for Taipei features daily maxima averaging ~30°C, so the market’s concentration on 31–32°C reflects the latest model consensus and limited upside from clearer conditions or reduced cloud cover. Newer model runs or updated observations tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind patterns change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Taipei on September 17?
32°C 46%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
46%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
31°C 33%
33°C 15%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
46%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position 31–32°C as the most probable range for Taipei’s September 17 high, aligning with the market’s 45.5% and 32.0% implied odds.** Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models show a northeast monsoon flow maintaining partly cloudy skies and moderate winds of 4–7 m/s, limiting extreme heating while allowing daytime temperatures to reach the low 30s. Current observations on September 16 (highs near 26–28°C) and short-range model runs indicate minimal precipitation risk (<10–15%) and stable pressure around 1013–1015 hPa, supporting modest warming. Historical September climatology for Taipei features daily maxima averaging ~30°C, so the market’s concentration on 31–32°C reflects the latest model consensus and limited upside from clearer conditions or reduced cloud cover. Newer model runs or updated observations tomorrow morning could shift probabilities if cloud trends or wind patterns change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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