Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies are driving trader focus on 34–35°C for Tel Aviv’s August 12 maximum, aligning with current model consensus slightly above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. High solar insolation under minimal cloud cover, light winds limiting vertical mixing, and a warm air mass support peak readings in this narrow range. The coastal setting introduces modest uncertainty from potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation, while ensemble spreads in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of peak heating explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
47%
35°C
44%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 5%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
47%
35°C
44%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and clear skies are driving trader focus on 34–35°C for Tel Aviv’s August 12 maximum, aligning with current model consensus slightly above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 30–32°C. High solar insolation under minimal cloud cover, light winds limiting vertical mixing, and a warm air mass support peak readings in this narrow range. The coastal setting introduces modest uncertainty from potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation, while ensemble spreads in boundary-layer conditions and exact timing of peak heating explain the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated short-range guidance from agencies such as the ECMWF and GFS will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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